Fresno de La Ribera vs Moraleja CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
66.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
ATL
60%
20%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
4 - 0
FRE
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
SAN
50%
20%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
RCB
1 - 1
FRE
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
SAC
67%
17%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moraleja CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
COR
1 - 3
MOR
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
10 - 0
IVL
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDN
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
MOR
13%
16%
72%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 6
MOR
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |