Fresno de La Ribera vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
80.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 5
UVA
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 0
FRE
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 3
SAL
7%
13%
81%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CIU
2 - 1
FRE
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 2
BET
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 2
CDV
16%
21%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CDV
3 - 0
CDN
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 2
CDV
12%
16%
73%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
CDV
2 - 1
ZAM
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDV
3 - 1
CDO
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |