Fresno de La Ribera vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BET
4 - 1
FRE
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 2
CDO
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
FRE
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
RIO
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CDV
0 - 1
CDM
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
CDV
21%
23%
57%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 1
CDV
39%
22%
40%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 0
UDS
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
CDV
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |