Fresno de La Ribera vs San Lorenzo de Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 3
FRE
9%
13%
78%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FRE
3 - 1
GCE
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
FRE
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
FRE
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FRE
5 - 1
RCB
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo de Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 0
LOR
35%
21%
45%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 5
RCB
42%
20%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 5
LOR
45%
20%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 6
BOV
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 2
VIL
17%
17%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |