Frem 1886 vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 1
B93
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
JAG
3 - 0
FRE
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 1
ACH
18%
24%
57%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
VEJ
1 - 2
FRE
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
FRE
4 - 0
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 0
B19
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
B19
0 - 2
ABT
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
VBK
4 - 4
B19
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
B19
5 - 0
BRO
71%
17%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 1
B19
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |