Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
35
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 0
FRE
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LYO
0 - 2
FRE
55%
24%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CSL
0 - 0
FRE
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 0
GRA
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HYE
0 - 0
FRE
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
MGG
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
THO
1 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAI
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 3
SPO
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |