Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 1
LPS
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
FRE
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
IST
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
RED
0 - 0
FRE
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
AVR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 1
IST
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
SPI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 2
STR
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
SPI
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 2
MET
16%
22%
63%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |