Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
51
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SÈT
1 - 1
FRE
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THO
1 - 0
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 2
CRF
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MGG
1 - 0
FRE
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
OLY
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 1
CRF
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MGG
0 - 0
LYO
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LYO
3 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 3
LYO
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HYE
0 - 0
LYO
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |