Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
51.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
7º
46
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
THO
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HYE
0 - 1
FRE
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
FRE
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
AUB
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
FRE
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 6
LPV
14%
26%
60%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
LPV
3 - 1
CHA
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
LPV
1 - 3
REN
8%
18%
74%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LPV
2 - 0
OLY
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
JUR
1 - 1
LPV
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |