Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
70.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ROD
4 - 0
FRE
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 0
TAR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 2
FRE
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
5 - 2
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 0
AUX
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
ASN
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 0
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
5 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 1
GUI
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
GUI
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |