Sportive Fréjusienne vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 2
FRE
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FUR
1 - 0
FRE
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ROM
0 - 1
FRE
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
COR
1 - 2
CON
45%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +3 |