Freienbach vs Eagles Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FCW
3 - 1
FRE
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 3
PAJ
66%
18%
17%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 11
YOB
6%
15%
79%
|
36 | 87 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
OLT
2 - 1
FRE
11%
16%
73%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FRE
4 - 0
FCM
65%
18%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eagles Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
EAA
1 - 1
WAN
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
FCW
1 - 1
EAA
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
EIN
0 - 6
EAA
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
EAA
4 - 1
OLT
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
WOH
1 - 4
EAA
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |