Freiburger FC vs VfB Bottrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
FRE
7 - 3
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
SAA
2 - 2
FRE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
FRE
2 - 0
SGF
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 1980 |
BAY
5 - 1
FRE
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
68%
19%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Bottrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
LEV
5 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
5%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
BOT
0 - 2
ROT
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BOC
2 - 0
BOT
79%
14%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
HAM
4 - 1
BOT
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |