Freiburg U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
62.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
6º
6º
35
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 18 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 1
FRE
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 4
HEI
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STU
1 - 1
FRE
11%
17%
72%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 2
HOF
13%
15%
72%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
FRE
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Stuttgart U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
STU
3 - 0
SPA
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STU
3 - 0
HEI
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STU
3 - 3
SVE
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 0
STU
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HOF
3 - 3
STU
64%
19%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |