Freiburg II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 1
FRE
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
PFU
0 - 0
FRE
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
SOC
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 2
EIN
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
WWO
3 - 2
FRE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 4
PFU
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 2
MAI
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 5
HOF
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
MAI
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -3 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 1
VER
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |