Freiberg vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 2
FRE
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
NOR
4 - 1
FRE
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 0
LIN
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
KIR
1 - 0
FRE
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 0
WAL
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HOL
5 - 0
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 1
HOL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 2
KIR
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WAL
3 - 1
HOL
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 1
BAH
26%
24%
49%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |