Freetown City vs Ports Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freetown City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 2
MIG
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
SMA
1 - 1
FRE
48%
28%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FRE
1 - 4
BBW
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
WSB
2 - 2
FRE
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 1
LAM
50%
27%
22%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ports Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
SMA
35%
29%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BBW
3 - 1
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
WSB
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LAM
3 - 1
POR
24%
28%
48%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
KAM
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |