Freetown City vs Bai Bureh Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
17º
8º
42
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 61 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 42 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
54% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freetown City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
FCJ
0 - 0
FRE
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 1
KAM
25%
29%
46%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
LAM
0 - 0
FRE
6%
20%
74%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
EET
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DIA
2 - 0
FRE
58%
26%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bai Bureh Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
LAM
2 - 1
BBW
5%
15%
81%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
BBW
1 - 1
BOR
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
BBW
2 - 1
CEN
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LUA
2 - 2
BBW
5%
15%
81%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BBW
2 - 2
FCK
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |