Freeport vs Nimba United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
14º
11º
18
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freeport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NKW
1 - 0
FRE
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
PYC
1 - 1
FRE
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 3
LIS
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 0
FRE
59%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
WAT
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nimba United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NIM
0 - 2
LIS
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
BEA
5 - 0
NIM
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NIM
1 - 0
WAT
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MUS
5 - 3
NIM
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NIM
1 - 4
CCE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |