Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset IF analysis


84	ELO	78
-12%	Tilt	-0.2%
413º	General ELO ranking	691º
8º	Country ELO ranking	12º
ELO win probability

52.2%

Fredrikstad

25.1%

Draw

22.8%

Stromsgodset IF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

52.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%

25.1%

Draw

0-0

7.8%

1-1

11.9%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.1%

22.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+4%

-21%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

25

1º

9º

8º

6

5º

15º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

15º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
4º	29	57	1º	25.5%
1º	33	57	2º	26%
2º	31	54	3º	19.5%
3º	30	52	4º	20%
5º	27	49	5º	18%
8º	23	48	6º	14%
6º	25	46	7º	12.5%
7º	25	43	8º	17.5%
11º	18	42	9º	16.5%
13º	17	41	10º	13.5%
9º	21	40	11º	15%
10º	19	35	12º	20.5%
12º	18	34	13º	21.5%
14º	17	33	14º	26%
15º	6	22	15º	72%
16º	2	11	16º	92%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champions League qualifying phase	0.5%	0%
Conference League knock out round	6.5%	0%
Mid-table	92%	8.5%
Relegation play-offs	1%	12%
Relegation	0%	79.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fredrikstad

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 Jul. 2025	HAM 1 - 1 FFK 28% 27% 45%	84	78	6	0
16 Jul. 2025	FFK 0 - 1 BOG 34% 26% 41%	84	84	0	0
12 Jul. 2025	FFK 4 - 2 MFK 35% 27% 38%	83	84	1	+1
05 Jul. 2025	VIF 1 - 1 FFK 50% 23% 26%	83	83	0	0
29 Jun. 2025	FFK 0 - 1 TRO 39% 27% 35%	83	83	0	0

Matches

Stromsgodset IF

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Jul. 2025	MFK 4 - 1 STR 64% 20% 16%	78	84	6	0
13 Jul. 2025	STR 2 - 3 TRO 31% 26% 43%	78	83	5	0
05 Jul. 2025	VKG 1 - 0 STR 62% 20% 18%	78	84	6	0
29 Jun. 2025	STR 0 - 2 VIF 31% 26% 43%	79	83	4	-1
22 Jun. 2025	KFU 5 - 0 STR 40% 27% 33%	79	79	0	0