Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
9º
8º
22
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
FFK
0 - 2
RBK
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
BRY
4 - 3
FFK
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
LSK
1 - 1
FFK
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FFK
1 - 0
KFU
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 1
FFK
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
S08
0 - 1
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
EGE
1 - 3
S08
25%
22%
53%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
BBS
2 - 2
S08
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
S08
4 - 0
HAM
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
S08
3 - 1
SDF
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |