Fredrikstad II vs Fyllingsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
13º
8º
25
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
FFK
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 1
SJE
48%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ELV
2 - 0
FFK
71%
16%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MJO
4 - 0
FFK
21%
19%
61%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FFK
0 - 2
HIF
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fyllingsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FYL
2 - 1
MJO
26%
21%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SIK
4 - 1
FYL
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 5
KON
26%
20%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
FYL
3 - 4
OTF
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 2
FYL
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |