Fredensborg BI vs Kastrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredensborg BI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
FA2
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
B73
6 - 1
FRE
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 2
STE
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TAA
4 - 4
FRE
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
HEL
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KAS
1 - 4
HOL
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FA2
2 - 0
KAS
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STE
3 - 2
KAS
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
KAS
2 - 0
TAA
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
KAR
2 - 2
KAS
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |