Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 1
FRA
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 4
BRO
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WIC
3 - 0
FRA
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 1
FRA
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAI
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 2
BUC
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CLA
3 - 1
FOR
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
HUN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |