Francia U21 vs Italia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
SUI
2 - 1
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MNE
0 - 2
FRA
8%
15%
77%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
KAZ
0 - 3
FRA
6%
14%
81%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
SVN
1 - 3
FRA
10%
17%
73%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 0
BGR
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Italia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
POR
3 - 2
ITA
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SRB
0 - 1
ITA
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOR
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 2
RUS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |