France U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
4 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GER
0 - 1
FRA
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
UKR
3 - 3
FRA
18%
22%
61%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 2
SUI
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
JPN
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ROU
1 - 4
ESP
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ESP
7 - 1
MLT
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |