Francia U21 vs Croacia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
SVN
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
LUX
90%
9%
1%
|
83 | 33 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
BGR
0 - 1
FRA
8%
15%
77%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
CAN
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
SMR
0 - 4
CRO
4%
11%
85%
|
71 | 18 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 0
GRC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
BLR
0 - 4
CRO
10%
17%
74%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
4 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
CZE
2 - 1
CRO
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |