France U21 vs South Korea U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 1
NED
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
6 - 0
EST
85%
13%
3%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 2
ENG
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
SWE
4 - 1
FRA
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 3
BRA
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
NED
0 - 1
KOR
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -3 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
GER
0 - 0
KOR
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +7 |