Francelos vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IRI
1 - 6
FRA
8%
12%
80%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
OUT
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ARR
3 - 0
FRA
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
COR
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AMO
2 - 3
FRA
29%
22%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COV
2 - 8
ARE
27%
19%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
COV
42%
21%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COV
0 - 0
MUI
20%
18%
62%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TOE
4 - 1
COV
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COV
3 - 1
COL
26%
22%
53%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |