Francavilla Calcio vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 4
FRA
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
HYR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
FRA
18%
25%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
ARM
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 1
FRA
30%
28%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
HYR
0 - 0
SSM
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SSM
2 - 3
ARM
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
SSM
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 2
SSM
75%
18%
7%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SSM
1 - 4
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |