Francavilla Calcio vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
POM
0 - 0
FRA
34%
28%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 1
FRA
33%
28%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 4
BRI
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 0
BIS
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
3 - 2
GEL
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BIS
3 - 1
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PUT
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
ARZ
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TAR
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |