Francana vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SER
2 - 4
FRA
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
INT
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
SJS
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 2
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |