Fram vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
ODD
2 - 2
FRA
41%
22%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
3 - 2
NOT
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ASK
5 - 3
FRA
73%
16%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 2
ODD
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LEV
4 - 2
FRA
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 0
KJE
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKA
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FFC
1 - 2
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SSK
2 - 3
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
BRY
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |