Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
KVI
1 - 3
FRA
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 0
DON
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
KJE
0 - 0
FRA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 4
FRI
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
TOL
4 - 0
FRA
76%
14%
9%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
S08
3 - 1
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FKA
2 - 0
S08
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
S08
2 - 1
MFC
89%
9%
3%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
TFC
3 - 1
S08
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2004 |
S08
2 - 2
KVI
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |