Fram vs Birkebeineren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 2
FRA
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 1
GRO
33%
25%
43%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 2
MJO
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 1
FRA
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 1
STR
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +5 |
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 2
NYB
24%
23%
54%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GJO
1 - 1
BIR
60%
21%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |