Fossano Calcio vs Albenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
20º
20º
0
15º
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 68 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 66 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
7º
|
89.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 54 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 49 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 49 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 48 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 43 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 41 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 40 |
16º
|
37% | |
|
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 34 |
18º
|
42% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 31 |
19º
|
45% | |
|
|
19º
|
26 | 29 |
20º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 31% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
4 - 1
FOS
83%
13%
5%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FOS
1 - 2
GOZ
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FOS
0 - 1
CCA
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOS
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FOS
0 - 4
SNR
11%
21%
68%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Albenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ABN
0 - 6
ASD
29%
27%
44%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
ABN
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
ABN
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ABN
0 - 3
LIG
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VOG
4 - 1
ABN
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |