Fossano Calcio vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 2
FOS
50%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOS
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
FOS
1 - 0
PRO
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BOR
3 - 0
FOS
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FOS
0 - 3
NOV
8%
16%
77%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
LAV
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASD
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VFC
0 - 0
ASD
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |