Forward Madison vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
59.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
6º
2º
48
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
4 - 1
LSC
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 3
FMA
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FMA
3 - 2
GTR
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 2
RIC
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CRW
2 - 5
OMA
20%
24%
55%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OMA
1 - 2
NCO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OMA
32%
26%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
OMA
1 - 2
KCW
18%
22%
59%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OMA
4 - 2
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |