Forward Madison vs FC Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 2
FMA
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
FMA
5 - 1
DUL
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 0
FMA
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
IND
5 - 0
FMA
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
SPV
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TUL
1 - 0
SAC
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
TUL
0 - 1
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
TUL
0 - 1
TUL
18%
19%
64%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
TUL
1 - 0
TAM
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 1
TUL
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |