Forward Madison vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
CVF
1 - 1
FMA
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FMA
1 - 2
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GTR
2 - 0
FMA
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
RIC
0 - 1
FMA
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 1
CVF
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
TUC
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
TUC
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TUC
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TUC
0 - 2
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRW
2 - 3
TUC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |