Forward Madison vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 0
FMA
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
FMA
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 0
FMA
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
FMA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
GTR
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
3 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 1
TUC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GTR
3 - 3
TUC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |