Forward Madison vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 4
FMA
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
ORL
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
FMA
2 - 1
UDG
14%
17%
69%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 1
CRW
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
LIG
3 - 2
FMA
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CRW
1 - 1
TUC
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
GTR
1 - 3
TUC
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 2
TUC
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
TUC
3 - 1
TOR
33%
25%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 0
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |