Forward Madison vs Tormenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
10º
9º
15
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
24 | 55 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 50 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
53% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
3 - 1
GTR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 2
WES
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 1
FMA
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
0 - 1
OMA
20%
26%
55%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 2
OKS
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
PHP
1 - 1
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAP
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
OKS
3 - 0
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 2
TOR
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |