Forward Madison vs Texoma FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+788%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
10º
7º
20
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
22 | 53 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 48 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
3 - 1
GTR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 2
WES
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 1
FMA
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Texoma FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
1 - 1
TFC
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
0 - 1
PHP
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 1
TFC
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
3 - 2
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | +1 |