Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
7º
29
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
26 | 53 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 42 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57.5% | 90% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
3 - 1
GTR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 2
WES
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 0
SPV
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
WES
3 - 0
SPV
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 1
TFC
84%
11%
6%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
RIC
0 - 1
SPV
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 1
FMA
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |