Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
6º
2º
24
7º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
FMA
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CVF
0 - 3
FMA
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 0
FMA
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
DUL
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
FMA
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
3 - 2
CVF
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
5 - 2
BOB
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 3
TOR
28%
25%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 0
CFC
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
RIC
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | -2 |