Forward Madison vs Fuego FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
6º
23
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GTR
1 - 0
FMA
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
FMA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FMA
3 - 2
LSC
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RIC
0 - 1
FMA
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FMA
3 - 0
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 1
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NCO
1 - 0
CVF
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 1
GTR
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CVF
1 - 2
RIC
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FMA
1 - 2
CVF
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |