Forward Madison vs FC Naples analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1734%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
7º
23
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
26 | 53 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 42 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57.5% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
3 - 1
GTR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 2
WES
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
FC Naples
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AVA
1 - 1
NAP
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 1
WES
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
AVA
4 - 1
NAP
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAP
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 2
CRW
22%
23%
56%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +3 |