Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
6º
2º
18
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 4
FMA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 1
FMA
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
SPV
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 3
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
FMA
26%
24%
51%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 1
OKS
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NCO
0 - 0
CRW
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CRW
2 - 5
GTR
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 3
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OKS
4 - 1
CRW
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |