Fortuna Wormerveer vs Uitgeest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
11º
8º
14
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 4
FWO
4%
10%
86%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FWO
1 - 5
HIL
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 1
FWO
8%
14%
79%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IVV
0 - 1
FWO
7%
12%
81%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Uitgeest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RKS
2 - 0
UIT
34%
22%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UIT
0 - 5
IVV
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGB
6 - 2
UIT
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UIT
1 - 2
VVK
34%
23%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SVH
6 - 1
UIT
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |